World Cup 2026Group HFinal Table, Fixtures & Analysis
Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, and Cape Verde met in Group H at the 2026 World Cup. Spain finished top and the group's top two advanced to the round of 32 — below are the final table, all six fixtures with their previews, and the analysis we published before the tournament.
Group H Preview & Predictions
Published before the tournament began, and kept here as written — the calls and probabilities below were made without knowing how the group would finish.
World Cup 2026 Group H is a two-tier draw. Spain arrive as the tournament's statistical front-runner, Uruguay as a credible second force, and Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde compete for a best-third-placed route that carries no guarantee of progression.
Group Overview
Opta gives Spain a 16.2% championship probability and a 98.5% advancement probability — both the highest of any team in the tournament. They carry a 31-game unbeaten competitive run (Opta Analyst, not independently re-verified) and the return of Rodri from a season-ending ACL. Uruguay are the group's second genuine force: Bielsa's 4-3-3 led all CONMEBOL qualifiers with 147 high turnovers, at least 26 clear of any rival. Saudi Arabia changed manager seven weeks out after a 4-0 loss to Egypt. Cape Verde are making their first-ever World Cup appearance.
Team-by-Team Outlook
Spain are the clear group favourite with a specific injury caveat. Lamine Yamal (18) tore his left hamstring on April 22 and is expected to miss the opener; Nico Williams suffered a grade-one hamstring strain in May. Both are in the squad; staff hope Yamal is fit by the Uruguay game on June 26. Without them, the wide-isolation press that produced 6-0 vs Turkey, 4-0 vs Georgia and Bulgaria loses its two primary executors. Mikel Oyarzabal leads centrally; Pedri, Fabian Ruiz and Rodri anchor midfield. Spain named their first-ever World Cup squad with zero Real Madrid players.
Uruguay are winless in three pre-tournament friendlies — a 5-1 loss to the USA, 0-0 with Algeria, 1-1 with England — scoring two goals, one from open play. Bielsa selected 12 midfielders and three forwards, prioritising press over attacking depth. Darwin Núñez (five qualifying goals) leads the line; Federico Valverde (11 goals, 13 assists in 2025-26) is the engine; Ronald Araujo anchors defence. The defining squad story is the omission of Luis Suárez — 69 international goals, still scoring at Inter Miami — after a public break with Bielsa. Captain Giménez carries an ankle doubt.
Saudi Arabia sacked Herve Renard on April 17 after a 4-0 loss to Egypt and appointed Georgios Donis — club-level Saudi experience, no international record. Pre-tournament results: a 2-1 loss to Ecuador, a 3-0 win over Puerto Rico. Salem Al Dawsari (34, 108 caps) is captain with 10 goals and 10 assists for Al Hilal in 2025-26. Saud Abdulhamid (RC Lens) is the only European-league outfield starter. Opta: 39.9% advancement probability.
Cape Verde beat Cameroon in CAF qualifying to reach their first-ever World Cup. Logan Costa at Villarreal is their only top-five-league representative. Opta: 32.9% best-third-route chance.
Qualification Scenarios and Key Fixtures
The baseline: Spain first (75.6% group-winner probability), Uruguay second, both advance. Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia — June 21, Miami is the swing fixture: a Saudi Arabia result against a Uruguay side winless in three would open the group. Spain vs Uruguay — June 26, Zapopan is the decisive match — Opta's pick for Spain's hardest group-stage game. If Spain stumble against Cape Verde on June 15 in Atlanta without Yamal, pressure builds early.
Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde compete for a best-third-placed slot from weak positions.
Spain win the group; Uruguay qualify in second. Valverde, Araujo and Núñez provide enough quality to see off Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde despite the attacking concern. Saudi Arabia (39.9%) hold a narrow edge over Cape Verde (32.9%) for the best-third spot but are unlikely to accumulate enough points under a new manager to advance.
Final Table & Fixtures
How the group finished, and all six matches in kickoff order — each linked to the full preview published before the game.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which teams were in World Cup 2026 Group H?
Who won World Cup 2026 Group H?
What were the Group H fixtures?
Are the odds for these matches still available?
How did World Cup group qualification work?
Through the tournament, every price on this page came from a live, two-sided market on the SX Bet exchange. The implied probability is that price as a percentage — and because these were real orders rather than a sportsbook's published line, the numbers moved as money came in.
The World Cup books have settled, but the mechanic is unchanged on every market SX lists: you are matched against another bettor, not a house, and your stake settles in USDC. Read the complete guide →