World Cup 2026Group CFinal Table, Fixtures & Analysis
Brazil, Scotland, Haiti, and Morocco met in Group C at the 2026 World Cup. Brazil finished top and the group's top two advanced to the round of 32 — below are the final table, all six fixtures with their previews, and the analysis we published before the tournament.
Group C Preview & Predictions
Published before the tournament began, and kept here as written — the calls and probabilities below were made without knowing how the group would finish.
World Cup 2026 Group C has a clear hierarchy rather than a group of death narrative. Brazil are the dominant favourite, Morocco are the credible challenger, and Scotland and Haiti are chasing the best-third route in the expanded format. Opta's simulations give Brazil a 96.9% chance of advancing and Morocco 88.7% — the gap to the bottom two is pronounced.
Team-by-Team Outlook
Brazil arrive under Carlo Ancelotti with an attack-heavy 4-2-4/4-3-3 that recorded 19 fast-break shots in 11 matches per Opta, but the two-man midfield of Casemiro and Bruno Guimaraes carries limited defensive cover. Rodrygo (ACL), Eder Militao, and Estevao are all out. Neymar — returning from an October 2023 ACL injury — carries a Grade 2 calf strain and is expected to miss the opener, targeting June 19 as a return. Vinicius Junior has around 8 goals in 43 caps per Al Jazeera, well below his club output. Brazil's CONMEBOL run finished 5th on 28 points (unverified) and cost the previous manager his job.
Morocco bring a perfect qualifying record: 8 wins from 8, 22 scored, 2 conceded. Captain Achraf Hakimi played 120 minutes of PSG's Champions League final on May 30 and is fit. Brahim Diaz (AFCON 2025 Golden Boot, 5 goals) leads the attack. New coach Mohamed Ouahbi — who replaced Walid Regragui in March 2026 having never managed at senior level before winning the 2025 FIFA U-20 World Cup — cut Youssef En-Nesyri, Hakim Ziyech, and Sofiane Boufal; 23 of 26 outfield players are under 30. The ceiling is real; the unknown is a first-time senior manager's opening tournament.
Scotland end a 28-year World Cup exile. Steve Clarke's 4-2-3-1 runs through Scott McTominay at No.10, Andy Robertson at left back, and Lawrence Shankland — PFA Scotland Player of the Year, 20 club goals — up front. Pre-tournament results of 4-1 over Curacao and 4-0 over Bolivia showed eight goals scored, but Opta notes Scotland posted the lowest expected-goals differential of any UEFA qualifier. Billy Gilmour (tournament-ending knee injury, May 30) is a genuine midfield loss.
Haiti hold a 15.8% advancement probability — the lowest of all 48 teams per Opta. Their last World Cup appearance was 1974. Their realistic ceiling is a first point in 52 years, most likely against Scotland on June 20.
Qualification Scenarios
Brazil top in 60.2% of Opta simulations, Morocco in 28.6% — the top-two picture is largely settled. Scotland's 65.6% advancement probability relies on the best-third route, where eight third-placed sides advance under the expanded format. The path: beat Haiti on June 20, then rank among the best eight third-placed finishers. A dropped result against Haiti requires an outright upset to survive. Haiti's only route runs through that same fixture.
The Key Fixture
Brazil vs Morocco, June 13, Atlanta (venue unverified) determines the group order. Brazil open without Neymar; Morocco have Hakimi fit from a Champions League final. Opta's 28.6% chance of Morocco topping the group resolves here — a Morocco result opens a race for first place, a comfortable Brazil win settles it early. Scotland vs Haiti, June 20, Houston (venue unverified) is the pivotal match for both sides: Scotland need a win to keep best-third hopes alive, and it is Haiti's best shot at a first point in 52 years.
Brazil first, Morocco second. The talent margin and Opta simulations both point to this. Scotland as a best-third contender — a win over Haiti should be enough to place them among the eight qualifying third-placed sides. Haiti eliminated.
Final Table & Fixtures
How the group finished, and all six matches in kickoff order — each linked to the full preview published before the game.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Through the tournament, every price on this page came from a live, two-sided market on the SX Bet exchange. The implied probability is that price as a percentage — and because these were real orders rather than a sportsbook's published line, the numbers moved as money came in.
The World Cup books have settled, but the mechanic is unchanged on every market SX lists: you are matched against another bettor, not a house, and your stake settles in USDC. Read the complete guide →