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Mythos · live AI betting botLive · updated 16 Jun, 06:22 UTC

We gave an AI $10,000 to trade the World Cup

Mythos is an autonomous betting bot built by Claude Fable 5. It trades the 2026 World Cup on the SX Bet exchange with a real USDC bankroll, and every position settles on-chain. This page is its live record: the running treasury, realized profit and loss, the bets in play, and every settled position, all verifiable on-chain by anyone.

Read the full story →Treasury wallet 0x8548…a2a6 ↗
[02] The record so far
Treasury$14.1KUSDC on-chain ↗
Realized P&L+$9.3KSettled positions
Win rate54.0%
47W · 40L
Settled87Positions graded
Volume$20.1KMatched USDC
[03] Performance over time

Cumulative realized profit and loss by settlement date. Hover any day to see the games that settled and their P&L. A single World Cup is a small sample, so expect swings.

$011 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun+$9.3K
[04] Open positions

Positions the bot has matched but that have not settled yet. Resting orders are never shown.

Open positions31 positions · $5,156.73 at stake
JapanJapan vs The Field · Outrights - World Cup
$1.0036.36$36.36Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 2.5France vs Senegal · FIFA World Cup
$50.912.09$106.35Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 3.5France vs Senegal · FIFA World Cup
$52.361.42$74.40Tx ↗Market ↗
Not FranceFrance vs Senegal · FIFA World Cup
$103.512.91$301.42Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 5.5France vs Senegal · FIFA World Cup
$467.4014.59$6,818.13Tx ↗Market ↗
TieFrance vs Senegal · FIFA World Cup
$32.624.68$152.62Tx ↗Market ↗
SenegalFrance vs Senegal · FIFA World Cup
$50.148.00$401.14Tx ↗Market ↗
NorwayIraq vs Norway · FIFA World Cup
$249.901.22$305.97Tx ↗Market ↗
Show 23 more positions ↓Show fewer ↑
Over 2.5Iraq vs Norway · FIFA World Cup
$193.081.64$316.67Tx ↗Market ↗
Norway -2Iraq vs Norway · FIFA World Cup
$39.992.16$86.47Tx ↗Market ↗
Norway -1.5Iraq vs Norway · FIFA World Cup
$219.971.68$368.92Tx ↗Market ↗
Norway -2.5Iraq vs Norway · FIFA World Cup
$1.572.78$4.36Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Argentina vs Algeria · FIFA World Cup
$755.572.07$1,563.56Tx ↗Market ↗
ArgentinaArgentina vs Algeria · FIFA World Cup
$549.071.42$781.47Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieArgentina vs Algeria · FIFA World Cup
$5.531.26$6.99Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 4.5Argentina vs Algeria · FIFA World Cup
$2.738.33$22.73Tx ↗Market ↗
AustriaAustria vs Jordan · FIFA World Cup
$102.541.39$142.07Tx ↗Market ↗
Austria -1.5Austria vs Jordan · FIFA World Cup
$149.992.13$319.77Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 1.5Austria vs Jordan · FIFA World Cup
$50.001.28$63.90Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Austria vs Jordan · FIFA World Cup
$21.411.82$39.02Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 3.0Austria vs Jordan · FIFA World Cup
$40.752.40$97.85Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 4.5Austria vs Jordan · FIFA World Cup
$50.006.15$307.69Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieAustria vs Jordan · FIFA World Cup
$24.721.21$30.01Tx ↗Market ↗
Not Congo DRPortugal vs Congo DR · FIFA World Cup
$12.111.08$13.11Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tiePortugal vs Congo DR · FIFA World Cup
$99.961.19$119.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieEngland vs Croatia · FIFA World Cup
$519.011.34$693.17Tx ↗Market ↗
EnglandEngland vs Croatia · FIFA World Cup
$37.121.78$66.09Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5England vs Croatia · FIFA World Cup
$336.902.25$756.90Tx ↗Market ↗
Ghana -0.5Ghana vs Panama · FIFA World Cup
$50.002.25$112.36Tx ↗Market ↗
GhanaGhana vs Panama · FIFA World Cup
$50.002.28$113.96Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Uzbekistan vs Colombia · FIFA World Cup
$836.862.00$1,675.22Tx ↗Market ↗
[05] Every settled bet

Grouped by match, highest-impact first. Expand any match to see each individual bet, with its on-chain settlement and the market it was placed in.

IranvsNew Zealand16 Jun, 01:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 4 bets · 3–1+$624.39
Not IranWin
$856.792.13+$967.09Tx ↗Market ↗
New ZealandLoss
$499.075.24−$499.07Tx ↗Market ↗
TieWin
$38.183.77+$105.87Tx ↗Market ↗
New Zealand +0.5Win
$50.002.01+$50.50Tx ↗Market ↗
Saudi ArabiavsUruguay15 Jun, 22:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 6 bets · 2–4−$713.38
Over 2.5Loss
$404.802.17−$404.80Tx ↗Market ↗
UruguayLoss
$346.271.52−$265.54Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieLoss
$50.001.31−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 1.5Win
$100.001.40+$39.75Tx ↗Market ↗
Not UruguayWin
$25.733.14−$25.73Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.75Loss
$7.062.62−$7.06Tx ↗Market ↗
BelgiumvsEgypt15 Jun, 19:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 10 bets · 5–5+$800.49
TieWin
$200.294.43+$687.49Tx ↗Market ↗
Not BelgiumWin
$370.642.73+$671.54Tx ↗Market ↗
BelgiumLoss
$351.511.63−$351.51Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 5.5Loss
$186.5014.95−$186.50Tx ↗Market ↗
EgyptLoss
$148.207.14−$113.42Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 2.5Win
$149.981.97+$71.95Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Loss
$36.132.03+$37.23Tx ↗Market ↗
Not EgyptWin
$29.431.18−$29.43Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 3.5Win
$35.531.37+$13.22Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 0.5Loss
$0.0815.69−$0.08Tx ↗Market ↗
SpainvsCape Verde15 Jun, 16:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 7 bets · 5–2+$6,634.60
Not SpainWin
$411.6511.30+$4,240.19Tx ↗Market ↗
TieWin
$128.8317.23+$2,090.90Tx ↗Market ↗
Cape Verde +2.5Win
$299.982.07+$322.18Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 3.5Win
$115.822.00−$115.82Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 3.5Loss
$140.012.09+$91.20Tx ↗Market ↗
Cape Verde +2.75Win
$20.002.12+$22.33Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieLoss
$16.391.11−$16.39Tx ↗Market ↗
SwedenvsTunisia15 Jun, 02:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 7 bets · 4–3+$181.69
SwedenWin
$201.491.99−$201.49Tx ↗Market ↗
Not SwedenLoss
$240.302.09+$160.65Tx ↗Market ↗
Sweden -0.5Win
$200.001.95+$84.38Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Win
$63.022.29+$81.36Tx ↗Market ↗
Tunisia +0.5Loss
$50.002.13+$56.38Tx ↗Market ↗
TunisiaLoss
$12.695.10+$49.99Tx ↗Market ↗
Not TunisiaWin
$49.991.26−$49.59Tx ↗Market ↗
Ivory CoastvsEcuador14 Jun, 23:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 5 bets · 2–3+$831.33
Ivory CoastWin
$334.383.48+$827.76Tx ↗Market ↗
Not EcuadorWin
$369.121.60+$221.42Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Loss
$100.003.19−$100.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 1.5Loss
$67.351.71−$67.35Tx ↗Market ↗
TieLoss
$50.502.97−$50.50Tx ↗Market ↗
Show 10 more matches ↓Show fewer ↑
NetherlandsvsJapan14 Jun, 20:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 5 bets · 3–2−$196.50
NetherlandsLoss
$228.302.10−$228.30Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Win
$50.002.19+$59.59Tx ↗Market ↗
Netherlands -0.5Loss
$50.002.16−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 1.5Win
$50.001.38+$18.97Tx ↗Market ↗
Not JapanWin
$9.631.34+$3.25Tx ↗Market ↗
GermanyvsCuraçao14 Jun, 17:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 7 bets · 5–2+$590.27
Over 4.5Win
$300.922.21+$364.47Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 5.5Win
$100.003.70+$270.37Tx ↗Market ↗
Germany -3.5Win
$108.652.12−$108.65Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 3.5Win
$150.001.58+$86.84Tx ↗Market ↗
GermanyWin
$50.001.07−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Curaçao +3.5Loss
$206.931.94+$23.91Tx ↗Market ↗
Not GermanyLoss
$50.0016.33+$3.33Tx ↗Market ↗
AustraliavsTurkey14 Jun, 04:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 6 bets · 3–3−$284.02
TurkeyLoss
$321.961.76−$202.56Tx ↗Market ↗
Not AustraliaLoss
$50.001.21−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Not TurkeyWin
$50.002.39−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 1.5Win
$53.431.38+$20.16Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 1.5Loss
$19.863.72−$19.86Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieWin
$52.931.34+$18.24Tx ↗Market ↗
HaitivsScotland14 Jun, 01:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 4 bets · 1–3−$169.56
ScotlandWin
$150.001.62−$150.00Tx ↗Market ↗
Not ScotlandLoss
$161.992.74+$80.44Tx ↗Market ↗
HaitiLoss
$50.006.45−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
TieLoss
$50.004.40−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
BrazilvsMorocco13 Jun, 22:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 6 bets · 2–4−$270.94
Under 1.5Loss
$352.963.38−$352.96Tx ↗Market ↗
Under 2.5Win
$299.991.88+$264.70Tx ↗Market ↗
Not BrazilWin
$137.312.39−$137.31Tx ↗Market ↗
BrazilLoss
$237.771.72+$90.34Tx ↗Market ↗
MoroccoLoss
$85.716.02−$85.71Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieLoss
$50.001.34−$50.00Tx ↗Market ↗
QatarvsSwitzerland13 Jun, 19:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 5 bets · 3–2+$1,486.32
Not SwitzerlandWin
$432.245.03+$1,742.54Tx ↗Market ↗
QatarLoss
$324.9916.52−$324.99Tx ↗Market ↗
TieWin
$16.538.00+$115.73Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Loss
$87.761.76−$87.76Tx ↗Market ↗
Qatar +1.75Win
$39.992.02+$40.80Tx ↗Market ↗
USAvsParaguay13 Jun, 01:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 7 bets · 6–1+$479.69
USAWin
$248.982.12+$278.69Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieWin
$392.371.39+$154.57Tx ↗Market ↗
Not USALoss
$76.971.88−$76.97Tx ↗Market ↗
USA -0.5Win
$50.002.05+$52.30Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 2.5Win
$33.502.41+$47.22Tx ↗Market ↗
Not ParaguayWin
$41.521.32+$13.29Tx ↗Market ↗
Over 0.5Win
$96.561.11+$10.58Tx ↗Market ↗
CanadavsBosnia-Herz12 Jun, 19:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 3 bets · 0–3−$1,010.22
CanadaLoss
$689.351.84−$689.35Tx ↗Market ↗
Not tieLoss
$318.391.37−$318.39Tx ↗Market ↗
Canada -0.5Loss
$2.481.90−$2.48Tx ↗Market ↗
South KoreavsCzech Republic12 Jun, 02:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 3 bets · 3–0+$1,308.71
South KoreaWin
$701.262.76+$1,233.35Tx ↗Market ↗
Not Czech RepublicWin
$120.801.48+$58.49Tx ↗Market ↗
South Korea 0Win
$18.741.90+$16.87Tx ↗Market ↗
MexicovsSouth Africa11 Jun, 19:00 UTC · FIFA World Cup · 2 bets · 0–2−$999.51
Not MexicoLoss
$674.993.18−$674.99Tx ↗Market ↗
TieLoss
$324.524.68−$324.52Tx ↗Market ↗
16 matches · 87 settled positionsVerify every bet on-chain ↗
[06] Read more
Complete guideCan AI Bet on Sports? We Gave an AI $10,000 and It Built a Trading BotRead →GuideAI World Cup Predictions 2026: Why an AI With Real Money Doesn't Pick WinnersRead →For developersWe Let Claude Fable 5 Design Its Own Trading Bot. Here's the Architecture.Read →

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