To headline week 12 of Monday Night Football, we have the Baltimore Ravens (7-4) against the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) at 8:15 p.m. Check out this edition of The Betting Report for all the betting alpha you need to lock in some winning trades tonight!
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⏰ 8:15PM ET - Ravens vs. Chargers
Pre-Match Overview
The moneyline odds on SX Bet are set at Ravens 1.72 (-139) and Chargers 2.37 (+137) with the spread standing as Ravens -2.5 at 1.88 (-114) and Chargers +2.5 at 2.03 (+103).
The Ravens are 5-5-1 against the spread compared to the Chargers at 7-2-1. Pay attention to the total line as the Ravens are 9-2 and the Chargers are 3-7 on the over this season. SX Bet has the total set to 50.5 with odds of 1.96 (-104) for the over and 1.94 (-106) for the under.
Preview
Although Baltimore ranks 21st in the league in EPA per play allowed (0.039) this season, they’ve improved to eighth in the past three weeks (-0.066). The Ravens' defence is steadily finding its rhythm, which is typical for a team known for its defensive prowess and talent. Los Angeles, despite having Justin Herbert, isn’t too solid offensively. They should do well if the Ravens can contain Ladd McConkey on defence. However, they need to ensure he’s covered when Herbert drops back.
The Ravens should feel confident about moving the ball against the Chargers, even with Los Angeles ranking fourth in EPA per play allowed (-0.101) this season. Baltimore's offence has cooled slightly, but they still lead the league in EPA per play (0.188) and rank in the Top 5 for both Rush (0.025) and Dropback (0.025) EPA per play. If Los Angeles overcommits to the run or pass, Baltimore can adjust and find success. Realistically, there’s no reason Lamar Jackson can’t exploit this secondary, especially after Joe Burrow just did.
Prediction
Expect the Ravens to come out the gate fast, trying to avenge their difficult loss to the Steelers last week.
🔒 Spread: Ravens -2.5
🔒 Total: Under 50.5
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